Our Zverev prediction page brings two things together: an automated forecasting model for upcoming ATP Tour matches and editorial previews of Alexander Zverev's next tournaments. For every match, the model calculates each player's chance of winning – based on form, surface, ranking and head-to-head record – and sets it against the market odds. These figures are statistical estimates, not promises of a win: even a favorite rated at 70 percent loses three out of ten matches on average. Betting is only for adults aged 18 and over, only where it is legal in your country, and it can be addictive – see Responsible gambling. The editorial previews further down reflect the situation on 4 October 2026, the day Zverev lost to Novak Djokovic in the Beijing quarterfinals (6-4, 4-6, 4-6).
Tennis predictions: the next matches
Tennis predictions
Updated: Oct 16, 02:29 AM18+A prediction is a statistical probability, not a guaranteed result.
- #2World ranking#28
- 1742Overall Elo rating1660
- 1734Elo rating on this surface (Hard)1645
- 9 of 10Wins in last 10 matches8 of 10
- 5Matches in 14 days (match rhythm)4
- 6Head-to-head1
- 20–5On this surface (2 years), W–L25–13
- WWWWLLast 5 matchesWWWWL
- 73–23In heat (30 °C+), W–L34–28
- 31–9In wind (25+ km/h), W–L21–18
Heat: favourites win less often in strong heat — the model has slightly lowered the favourite’s chance.
The bar shows which player this stat favours and how strongly it moves the prediction. Match rhythm: more matches in two weeks usually means the player is winning rounds and in rhythm — statistically a small plus.
- 2025-10-30BNP Paribas MastersAlexander Zverev6-2 6-4
- 2025-04-27Mutua Madrid OpenAlexander Zverev2-6 7-6 7-6
- 2023-09-30China OpenAlexander Zverev6-7 6-2 6-1
- 2023-08-09Canadian OpenAlejandro Davidovich Fokina6-1 6-2
- 2021-06-08French OpenAlexander Zverev6-4 6-1 6-1
Local time: 12:00Sun is high (49°)Temperature: 26°CWind: 14 km/hChance of rain: 1%Cloud cover: 91%
- #13World ranking#21
- 1645Overall Elo rating1680
- 1604Elo rating on this surface (Hard)1628
- 6 of 10Wins in last 10 matches5 of 10
- 3Matches in 14 days (match rhythm)3
- 0Head-to-head0
- 18–11On this surface (2 years), W–L20–16
- WWWLLLast 5 matchesWWWLL
- 0–0In wind (25+ km/h), W–L23–15
The bar shows which player this stat favours and how strongly it moves the prediction. Match rhythm: more matches in two weeks usually means the player is winning rounds and in rhythm — statistically a small plus.
First meeting
Local time: 14:30Sun is high (33°)Temperature: 25°CWind: 15 km/hChance of rain: 2%Cloud cover: 88%
- #6World ranking#16
- 1697Overall Elo rating1670
- 1713Elo rating on this surface (Hard)1647
- 9 of 10Wins in last 10 matches7 of 10
- 6Matches in 14 days (match rhythm)2
- 4Head-to-head1
- 32–10On this surface (2 years), W–L24–13
- WWWLWLast 5 matchesWWLLW
- 39–16In wind (25+ km/h), W–L28–16
The bar shows which player this stat favours and how strongly it moves the prediction. Match rhythm: more matches in two weeks usually means the player is winning rounds and in rhythm — statistically a small plus.
- 2025-03-12BNP Paribas OpenDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-0
- 2024-05-14Internazionali BNL d'ItaliaTommy Paul6-1 6-4
- 2024-03-17BNP Paribas OpenDaniil Medvedev1-6 7-6 6-2
- 2023-09-29China OpenDaniil Medvedev6-2 6-1
- 2021-06-02French OpenDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3
Local time: 18:00Evening, floodlightsTemperature: 24°CWind: 13 km/hChance of rain: 19%Cloud cover: 16%
- Oct 15Alexander Zverev – Alex de MinaurRolex Shanghai Masters · 6-4 6-4Our pick: Alexander Zverev 70%
- Oct 15Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Arthur GeaRolex Shanghai Masters · 4-1Our pick: Arthur Gea 53%
- Oct 14Tommy Paul – Zizou BergsRolex Shanghai Masters · 7-6 6-4Our pick: Tommy Paul 63%
- Oct 14Daniil Medvedev – Stefanos TsitsipasRolex Shanghai Masters · 6-4 7-5Our pick: Daniil Medvedev 72%
- Oct 14Casper Ruud – Felix Auger-AliassimeRolex Shanghai Masters · 5-2Our pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime 58%
- Oct 14Rafael Jodar – Botic Van De ZandschulpRolex Shanghai Masters · 6-7 6-4 6-2Our pick: Rafael Jodar 56%
Predictions are calculated automatically from public statistics and do not guarantee any result. Any match can end unexpectedly: injury, retirement, weather. This site does not accept bets. 18+. Only bet what you can afford to lose.
How we build our match previews
Every analysis follows the same four questions. Once you know the method, you can follow our assessments – and check them for yourself.
Form
What matters is not just the season record but the trend over the past few weeks: how many matches has Zverev won recently, against which opponents and how narrowly? A run of wins against players outside the top 20 says less than a final won against a top-10 opponent.
Surface and conditions
Zverev wins on every surface, but not equally often. Over his career he stands at 189-66 on clay, 333-146 on hard courts and 54-25 on grass. Indoors he has won eight of his eleven finals – a figure that matters for an autumn swing that runs through Vienna, Paris and Turin.
Head-to-head
The head-to-head record shows whether an opponent's style suits Zverev. His full records against 13 top players are on the rivals and head-to-head page. We give more weight to recent meetings, because playing level and tactics change over the years.
Workload
Five-set matches, long journeys and back-to-back tournaments take their toll. Especially in the autumn, when Asia, Europe and the ATP Finals follow each other within a few weeks, we factor in how many matches Zverev has played in the days before.
Current 2026 form in numbers
2026 is Zverev's most successful season so far: he won Roland Garros and the US Open, reached the finals at Wimbledon and in Madrid, and made the semifinals in Melbourne. Broken down by surface, he is 29-8 on hard courts in 2026, 20-4 on clay and 9-2 on grass. He has won nine of his last ten matches; the only defeat came at the Laver Cup against Alex de Minaur in a match tiebreak.
The contrast between the Grand Slams and the meetings with the very top is striking. Against top-10 players he is only 2-8 in 2026, and five of those defeats came against Jannik Sinner – in the semifinals of Indian Wells, Miami and Monte-Carlo and in the finals of Madrid and Wimbledon. For every preview this means: against most of the field Zverev has been very consistent in 2026, but against Sinner he has so far been clearly second best. All individual results are on the 2026 matches and results page.
Alexander Zverev predictions for his next tournaments
| Tournament | Dates | Status |
|---|---|---|
| China Open, Beijing (ATP 500) | 30 Sep – 6 Oct 2026 | Quarterfinal: lost to Novak Djokovic 6-4, 4-6, 4-6 |
| Shanghai Masters (Masters 1000) | 7–18 Oct 2026 | on the ATP entry list |
| Erste Bank Open, Vienna (ATP 500) | late October 2026 | entry confirmed by the organizers |
| Paris Masters (Masters 1000) | early November 2026 | scheduled in his calendar |
| Nitto ATP Finals, Turin | 15–22 Nov 2026 | qualified |
| Davis Cup Finals, Bologna | 24–29 Nov 2026 | Germany qualified, Zverev’s participation open |
China Open, Beijing (ATP 500)
In Beijing, Zverev reached the quarterfinals without dropping a set, most recently with a 6-0, 6-3 win over Juncheng Shang. There he lost to Novak Djokovic 6-4, 4-6, 4-6 and now trails their head-to-head 5-10. Still, Zverev has beaten Djokovic in big matches before, for example in the 2018 ATP Finals final and in the Olympic semifinal in Tokyo.
Shanghai Masters (7–18 October)
Shanghai has not been Zverev's strongest Masters so far: in seven appearances he is 13-7, his best result is the 2019 final against Daniil Medvedev (4-6, 1-6), and in 2018 he reached the semifinals. Since the tournament returned in 2023 he has not gone beyond the round of 16, and in 2025 he lost in the round of 32 to Arthur Rinderknech. His much better form in 2026 speaks in his favor; the short break after Beijing speaks against him.
Erste Bank Open, Vienna (ATP 500)
At the Wiener Stadthalle, Zverev won the title in 2021 (7-5, 6-4 against Frances Tiafoe) and reached the final in 2025, which he lost to Sinner 6-3, 3-6, 5-7. The indoor conditions suit his serve. The organizers have confirmed his entry for 2026.
Paris Masters
Paris is one of his best Masters events: a 20-7 record, the title in 2024 (6-2, 6-2 against Ugo Humbert), the final in 2020 and semifinals in 2021 and 2025. He did, however, lose the 2025 semifinal heavily, 0-6, 1-6 to Sinner. Because Paris comes right before the ATP Finals, managing his workload is also a factor.
Nitto ATP Finals, Turin (15–22 November)
Zverev has qualified for the ninth time. His record at the season finale stands at 18-12, with titles in London in 2018 and in Turin in 2021 and semifinals in 2019 and 2024. In 2025 he went out in the group stage after a win over Ben Shelton and losses to Sinner and Félix Auger-Aliassime. In a format with eight top players, the group draw often shapes the starting position.
Key matchups: Zverev vs Sinner, Alcaraz and Djokovic
Three opponents shape every prediction for the second half of the season. Against Jannik Sinner, Zverev is 4-11, and their latest meeting was the 2026 Wimbledon final. Against Carlos Alcaraz the record is almost level at 6-7; their most recent match, in the 2026 Australian Open semifinals, was only lost in the fifth set. Against Novak Djokovic, Zverev trails 5-10. Against Ben Shelton, whom he beat in the US Open final, he has won all six of their matches.
The limits of any prediction
Tennis remains hard to predict. Injuries, form on the day, wind, tiebreaks and single break points can swing a match. Our previews are therefore assessments, not a guarantee of any result or financial gain. How bookmakers turn such factors into numbers is explained on our tennis odds explained page. Anyone who bets should be at least 18, check that betting is legal where they live, only stake money they can afford to lose and follow the advice on responsible gambling. Zverev himself has no connection to this content.